a model for predicting an economic sectors
Authors
abstract
this paper tries to express the investment behavior of irans economic sectors during 1959-2001 by means of proposing an econometric model. the results of the model are offered in two options: present status continuation and desirable status. the first option reveals that the continuation of the present trends in iran will lead to the economic growth of 3.9 percent and total investment growth of 3.9 percent. the growth rate would be 2.7 percent in agricultural sector, 1.5 percent in petroleum sector, 4.4 percent in industry sector and 4 percent in other economic sectors. on the other hand, the results of desirable status option indicate that on average 10.9 percent investments should be made annually to achieve a growth rate of 8.6 percent. in order to reach such a volume of investment, 7 percent of new investments should be undertaken in agricultural sector. accordingly, the new investments in percent and 9.5 percent respectively. evidently, materializing such desirable growths is impossible while retaining the existing structures. hitting such a target needs meeting some requirements including mobilizing savings of private sector, institutionalizing private sector development, reforming and developing financial and banking institutions, preparing a politically favorable and stable investment environment, controlling the inflation and foreign exchange rate fluctuations, reforming the rules and regulations, annulling laws that lead to monopolies and so on.
similar resources
A Solution Model for Predicting Asphaltene Precipitation
Formation of asphaltene deposition during oil production, processing and synthesis is known as a fundamental problem of petroleum reservoir worldwide. Asphaltene is a petroleum fraction that can lead to increasing the operating costs in these industries. Variations in operational pressure, temperature and fluid composition are generally the significant cause of asphaltene precipitation. In ...
full textA Heuristic Model for Predicting Bankruptcy
Bankruptcy prediction is one of the major business classification problems. The main purpose of this study is to investigate Kohonen self-organizing feature map in term of performance accuracy in the area of bankruptcy prediction. A sample of 108 firms listed in Tehran Stock Exchange is used for the study. Our results confirm that Kohonen network is a robust model for predicting bankruptcy in ...
full textan application of equilibrium model for crude oil tanker ships insurance futures in iran
با توجه به تحریم های بین المملی علیه صنعت بیمه ایران امکان استفاده از بازارهای بین المملی بیمه ای برای نفتکش های ایرانی وجود ندارد. از طرفی از آنجایی که یکی از نوآوری های اخیر استفاده از بازارهای مالی به منظور ریسک های فاجعه آمیز می باشد. از اینرو در این پایان نامه سعی شده است با استفاده از این نوآوری ها با طراحی اوراق اختیارات راهی نو جهت بیمه گردن نفت کش های ایرانی ارائه نمود. از آنجایی که بر...
an appropriate model for exchange rate predictability in iran: comparing potential forecastability
nowadays in trade and economic issues, prediction is proposed as the most important branch of science. existence of effective variables, caused various sectors of the economic and business executives to prefer having mechanisms which can be used in their decisions. in recent years, several advances have led to various challenges in the science of forecasting. economical managers in various fi...
My Resources
Save resource for easier access later
Journal title:
برنامه ریزی و بودجهجلد ۹، شماره ۴، صفحات ۵۱-۷۸
Hosted on Doprax cloud platform doprax.com
copyright © 2015-2023